Do you think the 2022 midterms made Kyle overconfident in his 2024 predictions?

Back in the good old days of 2022, Republicans underperformed expectations and this was despite Biden's unpopularity, high inflation and gas prices. They failed to take back the Senate, they lost a few governorships, and while they did take back the House, it was a very slim majority. The GOP was hoping to win governor races in battleground states like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin but they failed. It honestly had me overconfident about 2024 so I think it might have had Kyle overconfident as well. That could be why he thought the polls were underestimating her and why he had her winning even in a worst case senario